I'm curious to hear your guys thoughts on my cold 4-bet sizing & shove in this hand...
HPT Main Event $1,650 buy-in, 438 entries (this is a re-entry tournament through 9 levels)
Level 4 - Blinds $200 $400
Tight aggressive kid UTG has about $20k to start the hand & raises to $1,000
Maniac has about $55k & 3-bets to $2,800 from the button
I have JJ in the small blind & kind of an awkward stack for me in this spot with $27k
I cold 4-bet after thinking it through for quite a while in game (90 seconds maybe) to $5,200. Planning to probably fold if the UTG kid shoves & probably call anything the maniac does, but definitely would have had to think about it...
UTG frustratingly folds & the maniac snap calls.
Flop is 10 8 4 rainbow.
I decide to open shove for value sure she’ll call with any 10 & probably AKs, AQs, & maybe even KQs with back door flush draw.. That one might be a stretch even for her though. She’ll also call with any pocket pair for sure.
She rarely has AA KK or QQ in her range. I believe she would have shoved those hands pre-flop for sure. I thought she probably would have shoved 10 10 as well but can't be sure.
So my range vs her range; I have her crushed. Unfortunately she 3-bet & called a cold 4bet with 10 8 off-suite & its game over for me.
Walking out I was wishing I had made my 4-bet sizing a little bigger, maybe like $8k, but I was trying to protect my stack a little against the UTG raiser. Perhaps bet shoving the flop might be a little better, but I thought open shoving made my hand look a lot like AK & would show a ton of value to her open range.
Thoughts appreciated. Thanks Jeff