As of November 2021, the APT Forum is closed to new posts. Like with many online forums, usage has decreased in recent years. All previous posts are still available.

Good or Bad Fold?

keithdunlapk
keithdunlap

TAG MP, 105 BBs, raises 3.5BB; H in SB with QQ; I have V covered with 125 BBs. I 3Bet to 2200; V 4bets 4800. I think and think and think. Let’s assume TAG 4bet MP linear range is 2% (KK+ (I block QQ), AK, AQs (partially blocked)). QQ has 40% raw equity versus that range. I have to put $2700 more in to win $7800 (including my call, math right?) 35% to Break Even; so a call is statistically profitable. But here’s the thing: I am OOP v a TAG IP, representing a Big Hand. Let’s say the worst hand V has is AKo. If an A or a K hits the flop, I am dead. If the flop is anything other than Qxx and V c-bets, I am probably dead (AA,KK). How do I make $ here? Position wins. I fold. BTW, V had AKo and flop would have been xKx, so I felt justified, even if fold was incorrect. AI urged me to call.

Sign In to comment.